Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.306391 0.364900 0.435797 0.529400 0.651845 8.096698e-01 1.033804
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.220665 0.288703 0.382843 0.527967 0.756759 1.124926e+00 1.815359
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.170539 0.237665 0.339496 0.515557 0.837775 1.468061e+00 3.030121
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.144611 0.212087 0.322564 0.533668 0.977586 2.036775e+00 5.674421
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.121793 0.185030 0.294279 0.518928 1.045043 2.528878e+00 9.535093
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.107966 0.169435 0.281101 0.527618 1.171705 3.354838e+00 18.931552
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.095634 0.153856 0.263832 0.520803 1.256560 4.201572e+00 37.276204
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.087709 0.144702 0.256756 0.534734 1.415004 5.712178e+00 102.524468
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.081876 0.138387 0.253911 0.558202 1.629156 8.201892e+00 494.369197
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.076359 0.131754 0.248871 0.574177 1.836875 1.164124e+01 8179.204103
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.071857 0.126436 0.245612 0.594364 2.091277 1.731724e+01 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.067500 0.120779 0.240410 0.607032 2.333914 2.561249e+01 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.063318 0.115060 0.234296 0.616082 2.587580 3.908393e+01 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.059097 0.108757 0.225672 0.614073 2.787401 5.804108e+01 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.054828 0.101857 0.214375 0.598820 2.890401 8.025326e+01 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.052474 0.098950 0.213028 0.620928 3.324814 1.642613e+02 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.048939 0.092967 0.202423 0.602898 3.409568 2.425932e+02 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.046713 0.089770 0.198984 0.613514 3.798291 5.681734e+02 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.044114 0.085434 0.191675 0.605183 3.995936 1.190467e+03 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.042478 0.083216 0.190099 0.622216 4.546725 6.861280e+03 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.041257 0.081865 0.190844 0.650982 5.375044 7.440798e+06 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.039878 0.079983 0.189699 0.670610 6.189295 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.038697 0.078473 0.189465 0.695470 7.262397 NaN NaN